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iPods & MP3 Players
The
Apple iPod is On Top of the Market
by my-tech-guide.com
Apple’s entry into the digital music player
market (MP3 market) with its popular iPod expanded the company’s
addressable market and signaled a turn in Apple’s strategy.
The iPod is a cultural phenomenon that is capitalizing on the
convergence of digital consumer electronics and the computer,
and Apple’s position as an early mover enabled it to achieve
the number-one position in the marketplace. iPod adoption continues
to accelerate, with little indication of a slowdown. It took
Apple approximately 18 months to sell its first million iPods,
but its second million came in six months and its third million
came in four. In fact, it appears that only its suppliers can
slow it down, in particular the hard-drive vendors, which are
having a difficult time meeting demand. Industry experts believe
that iPod’s growth will remain strong in the foreseeable future
and do not expect any significant customer fallout stemming
from Apple’s inability to meet demand.
An analysis of the launch of the Sony Walkman in 1979 indicates
the market opportunity for a revolutionary portable music player
will remain strong for several years to come and Apple is expected
to maintain a strong share for the next few years (unlike Sony’s
experience with the Walkman).
iPod
contributes 12-14% of total company revenues, a number
industry experts believe will continue to increase. With this
increase comes pressure on gross margins, as the blended iPod
gross margin of 20% compares unfavorably with Apple’s corporate
average of 27-28%. The iPod helped augment Apple’s growth by
expanding its addressable market from the core computer market,
which continues to grow, but at slower rates. To increase penetration
of the rapidly growing MP3 player market, Apple launched the
iPod Mini internationally in July 2004, and HP’s iPod launch
is scheduled for later in summer.
While
iPod and iTunes generate significant awareness of the Apple
product, they have done little to grow Apple’s core Mac
business. Experts attribute this mainly to Apple’s aboveaverage
pricing, along with continued ignorance on the part of consumers
regarding the compatibility of Windows and Mac. With regard
to pricing, the average consumer desktop PC retails for $1,019,
which is $280 below Apple’s low-end price point on Apple’s
now, discontinued flat-panel iMac. Furthermore, the industry
ASP is falling as most of the growth in the market is taking
place in the sub-$1,000 market.
Understandably, Apple
wants to avoid selling PCs at a loss, but unfortunately
the growth prospects for $1,000-plus PCs
are limited. This presents a conundrum for Apple longer term,
but for now it maintains its current strategy. Incidentally,
Apple’s revenue share has held much better, and while this
is not an often-discussed topic, revenue share is probably
more important than unit share. With regard to the compatibility
of Windows and Mac OS X, even though Apple made a concerted
effort to educate consumers about the ease with which these
two products work together, it has fallen on deaf ears for
the most part. Apple made some progress through its retail
stores, where it estimates half of Mac purchases are from first-time
buyers, but for Apple’s stock to work over the long term, the
company needs to maintain share against Windows, at a minimum.
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SolveYourProblem.com : 2007
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